TIAN Methodology
TIAN synthesises 10 ancient divination and metaphysical systems into a single prediction for each Polymarket question. This page explains each system, how they are combined, and exactly how accuracy is measured.
The Synthesis Process
For each Polymarket market, TIAN invokes all 10 metaphysical systems in parallel. Each system receives the market's question, the list of possible outcomes, the resolution date, and the current Polymarket odds. The system then performs its oracle — casting a hexagram, reading a horary chart, generating a geomantic figure — and returns a voted option with a confidence score.
The 10 votes are aggregated using a weighted consensus model. Systems with historically higher accuracy on similar market categories receive a slightly higher weight. The winning option (the one receiving the most weighted votes) becomes TIAN's prediction. The composite confidence score reflects the degree of agreement: 10/10 systems agreeing produces a score near 99%; a 6/4 split produces a score near 60%.
The synthesis is intentionally non-deterministic at the margins. When systems are evenly split, TIAN acknowledges genuine uncertainty rather than forcing a false consensus. Markets with a confidence score below 55% are flagged as low-confidence and should be treated with additional scepticism.
The 10 Metaphysical Systems
Zi Wei Dou Shu
AstrologyTang Dynasty China, ~900 CEThe 'Purple Star Astrology' maps 14 major stars and 100+ minor stars across 12 life palaces. Each palace governs a domain — career, wealth, relationships, health — and the star configuration at birth determines a person's fate trajectory. TIAN uses the current year's flying star overlay to assess whether the market's resolution timing aligns with auspicious or inauspicious palace activations.
Qi Men Dun Jia
Strategic DivinationHan Dynasty China, ~200 BCEOriginally a military strategy system, Qi Men Dun Jia ('Mysterious Gates Escaping Techniques') arranges 8 gates, 9 stars, 8 deities, and 10 stems across a 9-palace grid that rotates hourly. The configuration at the time of inquiry reveals which 'gate' the question falls under — Open, Rest, Life, Harm, Obstruction, Scenery, Death, or Shock — each carrying a distinct outcome probability.
Liu Yao (I Ching)
Hexagram OracleZhou Dynasty China, ~1000 BCEThe I Ching's 64 hexagrams are cast using the Liu Yao method (six-line coin casting). Each line is either yin or yang, static or changing. The primary hexagram describes the current situation; the transformed hexagram (after changing lines) reveals the outcome. Nuclear hexagrams provide a hidden layer of meaning. TIAN interprets the full hexagram stack — primary, nuclear, and transformed — for each market question.
Tai Yi Shen Shu
Numerological CycleHan Dynasty China, ~200 BCETai Yi ('Grand Unity') tracks a 72-year cycle of 16 divine positions, each governing a 4.5-year period. The current Tai Yi position, its relationship to the 'host' and 'guest' stars, and the active 'calculation number' determine whether the period favours expansion or contraction, victory or defeat. TIAN maps the market's resolution date to the active Tai Yi configuration.
Da Liu Ren
Celestial Stems OracleHan Dynasty China, ~200 BCEDa Liu Ren ('Great Six Ren') uses the 12 earthly branches arranged around a cosmic board with four key positions: the Month General, the Day Branch, the Hour Branch, and the Subject/Object relationship. The interaction between these positions — support, clash, combination, punishment — determines the outcome. It is considered the most complex of the three classical Chinese divination systems alongside Qi Men and Tai Yi.
Feng Shui (Flying Stars)
Spatial EnergyTang Dynasty China, ~700 CEFlying Stars (Xuan Kong Fei Xing) maps 9 stars across a 9-palace grid that shifts annually, monthly, and daily. Each star carries a quality — prosperity, illness, conflict, romance, authority — and its position relative to the question's 'facing direction' determines the energy quality. TIAN uses the annual and monthly flying star charts to assess whether the market's domain (politics, finance, conflict) is energetically supported.
Ba Zi (Four Pillars)
Destiny ChartTang Dynasty China, ~700 CEBa Zi ('Eight Characters') is a natal chart system based on the year, month, day, and hour of birth — each pillar containing a Heavenly Stem and Earthly Branch. The interaction of the five elements (Wood, Fire, Earth, Metal, Water) across the four pillars reveals the individual's elemental strengths and weaknesses. TIAN applies Ba Zi to key figures in a market (candidates, leaders, organisations) to assess their elemental luck in the resolution period.
Western Horary Astrology
AstrologyHellenistic Greece, ~300 BCEHorary astrology casts a chart for the exact moment a question is asked. The question is assigned to a house (1st house = the querent, 7th house = the opponent, 10th house = career/authority), and the ruling planets of those houses are examined for aspects, dignities, and reception. A planet in its own sign or exaltation is strong; a retrograde or combust planet is weak. TIAN uses the chart cast at the time of reading.
Tarot
Card Oracle15th century Northern ItalyThe 78-card Tarot deck (22 Major Arcana + 56 Minor Arcana) is read through a positional spread. TIAN uses a three-card spread: Past (context), Present (current energy), Future (likely outcome). Major Arcana cards carry stronger weight than Minor Arcana. Reversed cards indicate blocked or internalized energy. The suit of the outcome card (Wands=fire/action, Cups=water/emotion, Swords=air/conflict, Pentacles=earth/material) contextualises the nature of the result.
Rammal (Islamic Geomancy)
GeomancyMedieval Islamic world, ~800 CERammal ('Sand Reading') generates 16 geomantic figures through a binary process of odd/even dot counts. The 16 figures are arranged into a Shield Chart of 15 positions, culminating in a single 'Judge' figure that delivers the verdict. Each figure carries a planetary ruler and elemental quality. The Judge figure's nature — favourable (Fortuna Major, Acquisitio, Laetitia) or unfavourable (Tristitia, Carcer, Rubeus) — determines the outcome reading.
Scoring Methodology
When TIAN reads a market, it invokes all 10 systems in parallel. Each system casts its oracle for the market's question, options, and resolution date. The results are synthesised into a single predicted option and a composite confidence score (50–99%).
A reading becomes eligible for accuracy scoring only after the market fully resolves on Polymarket. Readings created after a market resolves are excluded — TIAN must have made its prediction before the outcome was known.
TIAN's predicted option is compared directly to the resolved outcome. A match = correct (wasCorrect = 1). No match = incorrect (wasCorrect = 0).
Polymarket crypto price markets often resolve as 'Up' or 'Down' rather than 'Yes' or 'No'. These are mapped symmetrically: Yes→Up (correct if resolved Up), No→Down (correct if resolved Down). This preserves the binary comparison without discarding thousands of readings.
TIAN picks one candidate from a list of 3–20+ options. Correct if that exact candidate wins. The random baseline for multi markets is 1 ÷ number of options — far below 50% — so TIAN's 39% overall accuracy includes many multi-option markets where random chance is 5–15%.
The composite confidence score reflects how strongly the 10 systems agreed. A score of 90%+ means near-unanimous agreement across all systems. Accuracy by tier shows whether TIAN's self-reported confidence correlates with actual correctness.
Important Disclaimer
All TIAN readings are metaphysical analysis only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The accuracy statistics on this site reflect historical performance on resolved markets and are not a guarantee of future results.
Prediction markets involve real financial risk. Trading on platforms such as Polymarket may be restricted or prohibited in your jurisdiction. Always check your local laws and regulations before participating.
The 10 systems described here are ancient divination traditions. TIAN applies them computationally, which differs from traditional human practice. Results should be treated as one analytical perspective among many, not as authoritative forecasts.
