Back to Live Desk
How TIAN Works

TIAN Methodology

TIAN synthesises 10 ancient divination and metaphysical systems into a single prediction for each Polymarket question. This page explains each system, how they are combined, and exactly how accuracy is measured.

The Synthesis Process

For each Polymarket market, TIAN invokes all 10 metaphysical systems in parallel. Each system receives the market's question, the list of possible outcomes, the resolution date, and the current Polymarket odds. The system then performs its oracle — casting a hexagram, reading a horary chart, generating a geomantic figure — and returns a voted option with a confidence score.

The 10 votes are aggregated using a weighted consensus model. Systems with historically higher accuracy on similar market categories receive a slightly higher weight. The winning option (the one receiving the most weighted votes) becomes TIAN's prediction. The composite confidence score reflects the degree of agreement: 10/10 systems agreeing produces a score near 99%; a 6/4 split produces a score near 60%.

The synthesis is intentionally non-deterministic at the margins. When systems are evenly split, TIAN acknowledges genuine uncertainty rather than forcing a false consensus. Markets with a confidence score below 55% are flagged as low-confidence and should be treated with additional scepticism.

The 10 Metaphysical Systems

1

Zi Wei Dou Shu

AstrologyTang Dynasty China, ~900 CE

The 'Purple Star Astrology' maps 14 major stars and 100+ minor stars across 12 life palaces. Each palace governs a domain — career, wealth, relationships, health — and the star configuration at birth determines a person's fate trajectory. TIAN uses the current year's flying star overlay to assess whether the market's resolution timing aligns with auspicious or inauspicious palace activations.

Best for:Long-horizon political and leadership transitions
2

Qi Men Dun Jia

Strategic DivinationHan Dynasty China, ~200 BCE

Originally a military strategy system, Qi Men Dun Jia ('Mysterious Gates Escaping Techniques') arranges 8 gates, 9 stars, 8 deities, and 10 stems across a 9-palace grid that rotates hourly. The configuration at the time of inquiry reveals which 'gate' the question falls under — Open, Rest, Life, Harm, Obstruction, Scenery, Death, or Shock — each carrying a distinct outcome probability.

Best for:Short-term event timing and binary Yes/No questions
3

Liu Yao (I Ching)

Hexagram OracleZhou Dynasty China, ~1000 BCE

The I Ching's 64 hexagrams are cast using the Liu Yao method (six-line coin casting). Each line is either yin or yang, static or changing. The primary hexagram describes the current situation; the transformed hexagram (after changing lines) reveals the outcome. Nuclear hexagrams provide a hidden layer of meaning. TIAN interprets the full hexagram stack — primary, nuclear, and transformed — for each market question.

Best for:Multi-outcome elections and geopolitical shifts
4

Tai Yi Shen Shu

Numerological CycleHan Dynasty China, ~200 BCE

Tai Yi ('Grand Unity') tracks a 72-year cycle of 16 divine positions, each governing a 4.5-year period. The current Tai Yi position, its relationship to the 'host' and 'guest' stars, and the active 'calculation number' determine whether the period favours expansion or contraction, victory or defeat. TIAN maps the market's resolution date to the active Tai Yi configuration.

Best for:Macro-cycle events: elections, wars, economic turning points
5

Da Liu Ren

Celestial Stems OracleHan Dynasty China, ~200 BCE

Da Liu Ren ('Great Six Ren') uses the 12 earthly branches arranged around a cosmic board with four key positions: the Month General, the Day Branch, the Hour Branch, and the Subject/Object relationship. The interaction between these positions — support, clash, combination, punishment — determines the outcome. It is considered the most complex of the three classical Chinese divination systems alongside Qi Men and Tai Yi.

Best for:Legal outcomes, contract disputes, competitive events
6

Feng Shui (Flying Stars)

Spatial EnergyTang Dynasty China, ~700 CE

Flying Stars (Xuan Kong Fei Xing) maps 9 stars across a 9-palace grid that shifts annually, monthly, and daily. Each star carries a quality — prosperity, illness, conflict, romance, authority — and its position relative to the question's 'facing direction' determines the energy quality. TIAN uses the annual and monthly flying star charts to assess whether the market's domain (politics, finance, conflict) is energetically supported.

Best for:Recurring annual events and geographically-anchored outcomes
7

Ba Zi (Four Pillars)

Destiny ChartTang Dynasty China, ~700 CE

Ba Zi ('Eight Characters') is a natal chart system based on the year, month, day, and hour of birth — each pillar containing a Heavenly Stem and Earthly Branch. The interaction of the five elements (Wood, Fire, Earth, Metal, Water) across the four pillars reveals the individual's elemental strengths and weaknesses. TIAN applies Ba Zi to key figures in a market (candidates, leaders, organisations) to assess their elemental luck in the resolution period.

Best for:Individual-centric markets: leadership races, personal outcomes
8

Western Horary Astrology

AstrologyHellenistic Greece, ~300 BCE

Horary astrology casts a chart for the exact moment a question is asked. The question is assigned to a house (1st house = the querent, 7th house = the opponent, 10th house = career/authority), and the ruling planets of those houses are examined for aspects, dignities, and reception. A planet in its own sign or exaltation is strong; a retrograde or combust planet is weak. TIAN uses the chart cast at the time of reading.

Best for:Binary Yes/No questions with a clear querent vs. opponent structure
9

Tarot

Card Oracle15th century Northern Italy

The 78-card Tarot deck (22 Major Arcana + 56 Minor Arcana) is read through a positional spread. TIAN uses a three-card spread: Past (context), Present (current energy), Future (likely outcome). Major Arcana cards carry stronger weight than Minor Arcana. Reversed cards indicate blocked or internalized energy. The suit of the outcome card (Wands=fire/action, Cups=water/emotion, Swords=air/conflict, Pentacles=earth/material) contextualises the nature of the result.

Best for:Nuanced qualitative questions and sentiment-driven markets
10

Rammal (Islamic Geomancy)

GeomancyMedieval Islamic world, ~800 CE

Rammal ('Sand Reading') generates 16 geomantic figures through a binary process of odd/even dot counts. The 16 figures are arranged into a Shield Chart of 15 positions, culminating in a single 'Judge' figure that delivers the verdict. Each figure carries a planetary ruler and elemental quality. The Judge figure's nature — favourable (Fortuna Major, Acquisitio, Laetitia) or unfavourable (Tristitia, Carcer, Rubeus) — determines the outcome reading.

Best for:Middle Eastern geopolitical markets and binary outcome questions

Scoring Methodology

1
Reading creation

When TIAN reads a market, it invokes all 10 systems in parallel. Each system casts its oracle for the market's question, options, and resolution date. The results are synthesised into a single predicted option and a composite confidence score (50–99%).

2
Scoring eligibility

A reading becomes eligible for accuracy scoring only after the market fully resolves on Polymarket. Readings created after a market resolves are excluded — TIAN must have made its prediction before the outcome was known.

3
Binary markets (Yes/No)

TIAN's predicted option is compared directly to the resolved outcome. A match = correct (wasCorrect = 1). No match = incorrect (wasCorrect = 0).

4
Up or Down markets

Polymarket crypto price markets often resolve as 'Up' or 'Down' rather than 'Yes' or 'No'. These are mapped symmetrically: Yes→Up (correct if resolved Up), No→Down (correct if resolved Down). This preserves the binary comparison without discarding thousands of readings.

5
Multi-option markets

TIAN picks one candidate from a list of 3–20+ options. Correct if that exact candidate wins. The random baseline for multi markets is 1 ÷ number of options — far below 50% — so TIAN's 39% overall accuracy includes many multi-option markets where random chance is 5–15%.

6
Confidence tiers

The composite confidence score reflects how strongly the 10 systems agreed. A score of 90%+ means near-unanimous agreement across all systems. Accuracy by tier shows whether TIAN's self-reported confidence correlates with actual correctness.

Important Disclaimer

All TIAN readings are metaphysical analysis only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The accuracy statistics on this site reflect historical performance on resolved markets and are not a guarantee of future results.

Prediction markets involve real financial risk. Trading on platforms such as Polymarket may be restricted or prohibited in your jurisdiction. Always check your local laws and regulations before participating.

The 10 systems described here are ancient divination traditions. TIAN applies them computationally, which differs from traditional human practice. Results should be treated as one analytical perspective among many, not as authoritative forecasts.