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Performance Rankings

TIAN Leaderboard

Where does TIAN's metaphysical synthesis shine? Rankings across categories and the 10 ancient systems — based on verified outcomes from resolved Polymarket markets.

40%
High Confidence
1,679
High-Conf Readings
2,789
Correct Calls

Best Categories

by accuracy
#CategoryAcc.CorrectBar
🥇
2026 FIFA World Cup
90%
9/10
🥈
Trump Presidency
86%
32/37
🥉
Pre-Market
69%
11/16
04
AAPL
67%
4/6
05
Middle East
67%
4/6
06
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures
60%
26/43
07
Ukraine
56%
5/9
08
Iran
55%
6/11
09
Crypto Prices
51%
100/197
10
Up or Down
50%
1,793/3,563
11
Meta
50%
3/6
12
Mentions
50%
4/8
13
TSLA
50%
3/6
14
Solana
50%
10/20
15
Crypto
48%
187/390

Best Systems

by accuracy
#SystemAcc.CorrectBar
🥇
Tai Yi Shen Shu
42%
2,591/6,189
🥈
Liuyao (I Ching)
42%
2,523/6,001
🥉
Rammal
42%
2,591/6,189
04
Qimen Dunjia
41%
2,752/6,686
05
Da Liu Ren
41%
2,769/6,769
06
Meihua Yi Shu
41%
2,751/6,685
07
Jyotish Prashna
41%
2,751/6,686
08
Western Horary Astrology
41%
2,751/6,685
09
Tarot
41%
2,751/6,685
10
Runes
41%
2,751/6,685
11
Liao (I Ching)
40%
12/30
12
Liuyoa (I Ching)
32%
36/113

System accuracy is computed from market-level outcomes — a system's vote is credited correct when the overall market resolved in TIAN's favour.

TIAN vs. Market Favourite

binary Yes/No markets

On 869 resolved binary markets where TIAN had a real-time probability reading, how does TIAN compare to simply picking the crowd favourite?

TIAN
46%
Market Favourite
53%
Random (50%)
50%

The market favourite wins more often because Polymarket crowds are well-calibrated. TIAN's metaphysical approach is not designed to beat the crowd on every binary question — it shines on multi-outcome and geopolitical markets where crowd wisdom is thinner.

Accuracy by Confidence Tier

does higher confidence = more correct?

How TIAN's accuracy changes as its own confidence score increases — each tier shows readings where TIAN's composite score fell in that range.

47%
50-60%
840 readings
39%
60-75%
4,354 readings
36%
75-90%
1,062 readings
47%
90+%
617 readings

A rising accuracy trend across tiers would indicate TIAN's confidence is well-calibrated. Flat or mixed results are expected given the diversity of market types.

Standout Calls

high-confidence multi-market wins
MarketTIAN's PickConfidence
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group B winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ Switzerland
Resolved: Switzerland
99%
Carabao Cup Winner
EFL Cup
✓ Manchester City
Resolved: Manchester City
93%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group F winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ Portugal
Resolved: Portugal
92%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group E winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ Spain
Resolved: Spain
89%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group A winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ Germany
Resolved: Germany
89%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group K winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ England
Resolved: England
89%
Singapore Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics
✓ PAP
Resolved: PAP
89%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group G winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ Netherlands
Resolved: Netherlands
89%
How many SpaceX launches in March?
Space
✓ 12 or more
Resolved: 12 or more
89%
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 25?
Weather
✓ 27°C
Resolved: 27°C
89%
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Geopolitics
✓ Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
Resolved: Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
89%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group D winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ France
Resolved: France
89%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group J winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ Belgium
Resolved: Belgium
89%
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 24?
Daily Temperature
✓ 19°C or higher
Resolved: 19°C or higher
89%
2025 Antisemite of the Year
Culture
✓ Tucker Carlson
Resolved: Tucker Carlson
88%
UEFA WC Qualifying – Group H winner
2026 FIFA World Cup
✓ Austria
Resolved: Austria
79%
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics
✓ Christy Davis
Resolved: Christy Davis
79%
Next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Iran
✓ Mojtaba Khamenei
Resolved: Mojtaba Khamenei
79%
Angel City FC vs. Houston Dash
NWSL
✓ Angel City FC
Resolved: Angel City FC
79%
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
leavitt
✓ 25+ minutes
Resolved: 25+ minutes
79%