TIAN's Track Record
Verified accuracy on resolved prediction markets
Accuracy Rate29%
0%50%100%
Market
TIAN's Pick
Actual
Conf.
Result
Date
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Jerome PowellNo
Yes
62%
Dec 31
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
PoliticsYes
Yes
71%
Oct 31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
PoliticsNo
Yes
79%
Mar 31
Maduro out in 2025?
VenezuelaNo
No
100%
Dec 31
Netherlands Parliamentary Election
Global ElectionsYes
Yes
69%
Jul 31
US next strikes Iran on...?
GeopoliticsNo
Yes
69%
Mar 31
Next Country US Strikes
GeopoliticsYes
Yes
0%
Dec 31
Elon Musk # tweets March 20 - March 27, 2026?
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50No
Yes
100%
Mar 27
Next leader out of power before 2027?
GeopoliticsNo
Yes
63%
Dec 31
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
EpsteinNo
Yes
61%
Dec 31
Which Party wins 2nd most seats in Netherlands election?
WorldYes
Yes
69%
Jul 31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
PoliticsNo
Yes
68%
Jun 30
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies
SportsYes
Connecticut Huskies
68%
Mar 28
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
MonadNo
Yes
69%
Jun 30
Next Japanese Prime Minister
Global ElectionsNo
Yes
69%
Apr 30
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
IranNo
Yes
75%
Dec 31
Pistons vs. Timberwolves
SportsYes
Pistons
70%
Mar 28
Next Country US Strikes
PoliticsYes
Yes
0%
Dec 31
Next Country US Strikes
TrumpYes
Yes
0%
Dec 31
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones
SportsNo
Tennessee Volunteers
0%
Mar 27
Next Country US Strikes
Middle EastYes
Yes
0%
Dec 31
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
CourtsNo
No
69%
Dec 31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
GeopoliticsNo
Yes
68%
Dec 31
2025 U.S. Open Winner (Golf)
GamesYes
Yes
76%
Jun 15
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
GeopoliticsNo
No
99%
Feb 5
Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?
PoliticsYes
Yes
0%
Dec 31
Next Country US Strikes
PoliticsYes
Yes
0%
Dec 31
Next Country US Strikes
VenezuelaYes
Yes
0%
Dec 31
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils
SportsNo
Duke Blue Devils
68%
Mar 27
76ers vs. Hornets
GamesYes
76ers
69%
Mar 28
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