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Track Record

TIAN Accuracy

Accuracy is measured across resolved binary Yes/No markets where TIAN's prediction can be directly compared to the verified outcome. Up/Down price-movement markets are mapped symmetrically (Yes→Up, No→Down) and included. Multi-option markets are excluded — their outcome labels are not comparable to TIAN's Yes/No output format.

41%
Overall
2,789
Correct
6,873
Yes/No Comparable
8,789
TIAN Readings
5/7
May 18 Resolved

Daily Accuracy — Markets Resolved

Each bar shows how many Polymarket markets resolved that day and how many TIAN called correctly. The line tracks daily accuracy %. Grouped by the market's actual resolution date.

Apr 19Apr 21Apr 22Apr 23Apr 24Apr 25Apr 30May 5May 6May 7May 8May 9May 11May 12May 13May 14May 16May 180153045600%25%50%75%100%
  • Markets resolved
  • TIAN correct
  • Accuracy %

By Category

Sorted highest → lowest accuracy
CategoryAccuracyCorrectTotalDistribution
01fdv
100%
5
5
02Space
100%
3
3
032026 FIFA World Cup
90%
9
10
04Trump Presidency
86%
32
37
05Pre-Market
69%
11
16
06AAPL
67%
4
6
07Middle East
67%
4
6
08Gaza
67%
2
3
09AI
67%
2
3
10NYMEX Crude Oil Futures
60%
26
43
11GOOGL
60%
3
5
12Recurring
58%
42
72
13BNB
56%
5
9
14Ukraine
56%
5
9
15Iran
55%
6
11
16Hide From New
54%
55
102
17Crypto Prices
51%
100
197
18Up or Down
50%
1,793
3,563
19Solana
50%
10
20
20Mentions
50%
4
8
21Meta
50%
3
6
22TSLA
50%
3
6
23Soccer
50%
3
6
24football
50%
2
4
25Cabinet
50%
2
4
26Israel
50%
2
4
27Crypto
48%
187
390
28Geopolitics
47%
33
70
29Dogecoin
45%
5
11
3015M
43%
6
14
31Tech
43%
3
7
32World
40%
4
10
33AMZN
40%
2
5
34Basketball
40%
2
5
35Ethereum
38%
46
121
36XRP
37%
7
19
37Trump
36%
16
44
385M
36%
13
36
39Politics
33%
17
52
40NVDA
33%
2
6
41NFLX
33%
1
3
42OPEN
33%
1
3
43U.S. x Iran
33%
1
3
44Music
33%
1
3
45Cricket
33%
1
3
46internet
33%
1
3
47Khamenei
33%
1
3
48Dota 2
33%
1
3
49PLTR
33%
1
3
50Culture
29%
9
31
51Finance
29%
2
7
52hype
25%
2
8
53Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
25%
1
4
54Venezuela
25%
1
4
55baseball
25%
1
4
56strike
24%
7
29
57Bitcoin
23%
36
159
58Sports
21%
138
658
59Weather
20%
22
108
60YouTube
20%
1
5
61MSFT
17%
1
6
62MrBeast
17%
1
6
63NFL
14%
1
7
64Games
6%
6
93
65Esports
4%
9
206
66Tennis
0%
1
369
67MLB
0%
0
15
68Formula 1
0%
0
15
69Global Elections
0%
0
5
70Elections
0%
0
3
71Business
0%
0
3
72Rewards 50, 4.5, 20
0%
0
3
73Neg Risk
0%
0
3

Methodology. A reading is counted as correct when TIAN's predicted option exactly matches the market's verified resolved outcome. Binary Yes/No markets and Up/Down price-movement markets (where Yes maps to Up and No maps to Down) are included. Multi-option markets are excluded because their outcome labels are not directly comparable to TIAN's Yes/No output format.

For analysis only. These accuracy figures are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Past accuracy is not indicative of future performance. Trading on prediction markets such as Polymarket may be restricted or prohibited in your jurisdiction — please check your local laws and regulations before participating.